RESILIENT LIVING: What Would a Complete Supply Chain Breakdown Really Look Like? – By Aden Tate

…Grocery stores rely on just-in-time systems to get their food to their customers.

SM's avatarRIELPOLITIK

Source – theorganicprepper.com

  • “…Grocery stores rely on just-in-time systems to get their food to their customers. On average, this means that a grocery store has roughly a week’s worth of food within its four walls at any given time. However, remember that this is a week’s worth of food in normal circumstances. As the 2020 toilet paper situation showed, once people fear they can’t get more of something, they stock up. Therefore, a week’s worth of food at the grocery store can be gone in a matter ofdays or hours”

What Would a Complete Supply Chain Breakdown Really Look Like?

By Aden Tate

By Aden Tate

Cyber Polygon 2020 examined the threat of a complete supply chain breakdown. But what does that mean? Is it just no more toilet paper? Or is it something more sinister?

Perhaps we can shed some light on the situation here.

Food

According to the

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How Australia was left dangerously exposed

auntyuta's avatarAuntyUta

https://tvtonight.com.au/2021/07/four-corners-aug-2.html

Four Corners: Aug 2

On Monday ABC examines how Australia was left dangerously exposed.

  • Published byDavid Knox
  • onJuly 30, 2021

Leave a comment

Monday’sFour Cornersis “Lockdown: How Australia became trapped by COVID-19”, reported by Adam Harvey.

“It’s been disappointing. We’ve been let down. There’s no point in sugar coating it. It’s just been a massive disappointment.” Resident

For weeks, millions of Australians have been trapped by outbreaks of COVID-19 around the country with five states and the Northern Territory plunging into lockdown.

“The risk is real and we need to act quickly. We need to go hard, we need to go fast… I don’t want to see people end up in our hospitals on ventilators.” Qld Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk

At a grim press conference in Sydney, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian bluntly told the nation that with case numbers on the…

View original post 371 more words

Ode to Joy

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ode_to_Joy

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaJump to navigationJump to searchThis article is about Schiller’s poem. For the “Ode to Joy” theme by Beethoven, see Symphony No. 9 (Beethoven). For other uses, see Ode to Joy (disambiguation).

by Friedrich Schiller
Autograph manuscript, circa 1785
Original titleAn die Freude
Written1785
CountryGermany
LanguageGerman
FormOde
PublisherThalia
Publication date1786, 1808

Ode to Joy” (German: “An die Freude” [an diː ˈfʁɔʏdə]) is an ode written in the summer of 1785 by German poet, playwright, and historian Friedrich Schiller and published the following year in Thalia. A slightly revised version appeared in 1808, changing two lines of the first and omitting the last stanza.

“Ode to Joy” is best known for its use by Ludwig van Beethoven in the final (fourth) movement of his Ninth Symphony, completed in 1824. Beethoven’s text is not based entirely on Schiller’s poem, and it introduces a few new sections. His tune[1] (but not Schiller’s words) was adopted as the “Anthem of Europe” by the Council of Europe in 1972 and subsequently by the European UnionRhodesia‘s national anthem from 1974 until 1979, “Rise, O Voices of Rhodesia“, used the tune of “Ode to Joy”.

Contents

The poem[edit]

Schillerhaus in Gohlis

Schiller wrote the first version of the poem when he was staying in GohlisLeipzig. In the year 1785 from the beginning of May till mid September, he stayed with his publisher, Georg Joachim Göschen, in Leipzig and wrote “An die Freude” along with his play Don Carlos.[2]

Schiller later made some revisions to the poem, which was then republished posthumously in 1808, and it was this latter version that forms the basis for Beethoven’s setting. Despite the lasting popularity of the ode, Schiller himself regarded it as a failure later in his life, going so far as to call it “detached from reality” and “of value maybe for us two, but not for the world, nor for the art of poetry” in an 1800 letter to his longtime friend and patron Christian Gottfried Körner (whose friendship had originally inspired him to write the ode).[3]

Lyrics[edit]

An die Freude

Freude, schöner Götterfunken,
Tochter aus Elysium,
Wir betreten feuertrunken,
Himmlische, dein Heiligtum!
Deine Zauber binden wieder
Was die Mode streng geteilt*;
Alle Menschen werden Brüder*
Wo dein sanfter Flügel weilt.

Wem der große Wurf gelungen
Eines Freundes Freund zu sein;
Wer ein holdes Weib errungen
Mische seinen Jubel ein!
Ja, wer auch nur eine Seele
Sein nennt auf dem Erdenrund!
Und wer’s nie gekonnt, der stehle
Weinend sich aus diesem Bund!

Freude trinken alle Wesen
An den Brüsten der Natur;
Alle Guten, alle Bösen
Folgen ihrer Rosenspur.
Küsse gab sie uns und Reben,
Einen Freund, geprüft im Tod;
Wollust ward dem Wurm gegeben
und der Cherub steht vor Gott.

Froh, wie seine Sonnen fliegen
Durch des Himmels prächt’gen Plan
Laufet, Brüder, eure Bahn,
Freudig, wie ein Held zum Siegen.

Seid umschlungen, Millionen!
Diesen Kuß der ganzen Welt!
Brüder, über’m Sternenzelt
Muß ein lieber Vater wohnen.
Ihr stürzt nieder, Millionen?
Ahnest du den Schöpfer, Welt?
Such’ ihn über’m Sternenzelt!
Über Sternen muß er wohnen.
Ode to Joy

Joy, beautiful spark of Divinity [or: of gods],
Daughter of Elysium,
We enter, drunk with fire,
Heavenly one, thy sanctuary!
Thy magic binds again
What custom strictly divided;*
All people become brothers,*
Where thy gentle wing abides.

Whoever has succeeded in the great attempt,
To be a friend’s friend,
Whoever has won a lovely woman,
Add his to the jubilation!
Yes, and also whoever has just one soul
To call his own in this world!
And he who never managed it should slink
Weeping from this union!

All creatures drink of joy
At nature’s breasts.
All the Just, all the Evil
Follow her trail of roses.
Kisses she gave us and grapevines,
A friend, proven in death.
Salaciousness was given to the worm
And the cherub stands before God.

Gladly, as His suns fly
through the heavens’ grand plan
Go on, brothers, your way,
Joyful, like a hero to victory.

Be embraced, Millions!
This kiss to all the world!
Brothers, above the starry canopy
There must dwell a loving Father.
Are you collapsing, millions?
Do you sense the creator, world?
Seek him above the starry canopy!
Above stars must He dwell.

Revisions[edit]

The lines marked with * have been revised as follows:

OriginalRevisedTranslation of originalTranslation of revisionComment
was der Mode Schwerd geteiltWas die Mode streng geteiltwhat the sword of custom dividedWhat custom strictly dividedThe original meaning of Mode was “custom, contemporary taste”.[4]
Bettler werden FürstenbrüderAlle Menschen werden Brüderbeggars become brothers of princesAll people become brothers

Ode to freedom[edit]

Academic speculation remains as to whether Schiller originally wrote an “Ode to Freedom” (Ode an die Freiheit) and changed it to an “Ode to Joy”.[5][6] Thayer wrote in his biography of Beethoven, “the thought lies near that it was the early form of the poem, when it was still an ‘Ode to Freedom’ (not ‘to Joy’), which first aroused enthusiastic admiration for it in Beethoven’s mind”.[7] The musicologist Alexander Rehding points out that even Bernstein, who used “Freiheit” in one performance in 1989, called it conjecture whether Schiller used “joy” as code for “freedom” and that scholarly consensus holds that there is no factual basis for this myth.[8]

Use of Beethoven’s setting[edit]

Anthem of the European UnionMENU0:00Instrumental performed by the United States Navy Band
Problems playing this file? See media help.

Over the years, Beethoven’s “Ode to Joy” has remained a protest anthem and a celebration of music.

Other musical settings[edit]

Other musical settings of the poem include:

External audio
audio icon Schubert’s “An die Freude” on YouTubeDietrich Fischer-DieskauGerald Moore

References[edit]

  1. ^ The usual name of the Hymn tune is “Hymn to Joy” “Hymnary – Hymn to Joy”. Retrieved 11 October 2013.
  2. ^ “History of the Schiller House”stadtgeschichtliches-museum-leipzig.de.
  3. ^ Schiller, Friedrich (October 21, 1800). “[Untitled letter]”wissen-im-netz.info (in German). Archived from the original on 2016-03-04. Retrieved 2019-05-29.
  4. ^ Duden – Das Herkunftswörterbuch. Mannheim: Bibliographisches Institut. 1963. p. 446. ISBN 3-411-00907-1. The word was derived via French from ultimately Latin modusDuden cites as first meanings “Brauch, Sitte, Tages-, Zeitgeschmack“. The primary modern meaning has shifted more towards “fashion”.
  5. ^ Kubacki, Wacław (January 1960). “Das Werk Juliusz Slowackisund seine Bedeutung für die polnische Literatur”. Zeitschrift für Slawistik (in German). 5 (1). doi:10.1524/slaw.1960.5.1.545S2CID 170929661.
  6. ^ Görlach, Alexander (4 August 2010). “Der Glaube an die Freiheit – Wen darf ich töten?”The European. Archived from the original on 26 October 2016. Das ‘Alle Menschen werden Brüder’, das Schiller in seiner Ode an die Freude (eigentlich Ode an die Freiheit) formuliert, …
  7. ^ Thayer, A. W.(1817–97), rev. and ed. Elliot ForbesThayer’s Life of Beethoven. (2 vols. 1967, 1991) Princeton: Princeton University Press. p. 895.
  8. ^ Rehding, Alexander (2018). Beethoven’s Symphony No. 9. Oxford University Press. p. 33, note 8 on p. 141. ISBN 9780190299705.
  9. ^ Kerry Candaele (6 May 2015). “Following Beethoven’s Ninth”Al Jazeera. Retrieved 20 September 2020.
  10. Jump up to:a b Daniel M. Gold (October 31, 2013). “The Ode Heard Round the World: Following the Ninth Explores Beethoven’s Legacy”The New York Times. Retrieved 28 Sep 2014.
  11. ^ Video of a “flash mob” – “Ode to Joy” sung at Leipzig railway station (8 November 2009) on YouTube
  12. ^ Megan Garber (9 July 2012). “Ode to Joy: 50 String Instruments That Will Melt Your Heart”The Atlantic. Retrieved 3 January2020.
  13. ^ “Beethoven’s Flash Mobs”billmoyers.com. November 14, 2013.
  14. ^ Nougayrède, Natalie (8 May 2017). “Macron’s victory march to Europe’s anthem said more than words”The Guardian. Retrieved 16 July 2017.
  15. ^ “EU anthem played at Proms’ first night”BBC News. BBC. 14 July 2017. Retrieved 16 July 2017.
  16. ^ “Prom 9: War & Peace”BBC Music Events. Retrieved 2019-01-13.
  17. ^ Excommunication, daisakuikeda.org (undated)
  18. ^ Otto Erich Deutsch et al. Schubert Thematic Catalogue, German edition 1978 (Bärenreiter), pp. 128–129

External links[edit]

Wikimedia Commons has media related to Schiller’s Ode an die Freude.
Wikisource has original text related to this article:Ode to Joy
showvteLudwig van Beethoven‘s Symphony No. 9
showvteSongs by Franz Schubert
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Lockdown Flash Fiction

Sean Crawley's avatarwake up and smell the humans

 

So Are the Days

Her breath sneaks out of the top of the mask and fogs up her reading glasses. She moulds the metal strip a little tighter over the bridge of her nose. The pubs are closed again. No income. Still casual after all these years. Another extension of lockdown is expected to be announced at 11am.

I’ll have to get online and apply for a payment.

At the shopping centre a man and his son are standing outside the pharmacy. Waiting? The father wears a football jersey and a long thin plait of hair runs down his back. He is mock fighting with his son. The boy jumps in trying to score a tap on his dad, then jumps back to avoid being slapped. The boy is not wearing a mask, neither is the father. Where is security?

Today, it is only ‘him’ she sees defying the…

View original post 356 more words

“Herd immunity” not responsible for Sweden’s control of COVID-19, say researchers

https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210714/e2809cHerd-immunitye2809d-not-responsible-for-Swedene28099s-control-of-COVID-19-say-researchers.aspx

. . . . .

“When the third wave began to subside in late April, only about 5% of the population were fully vaccinated. The vaccine coverage was almost zero among those aged 0 to 69 years, with only hospital workers and people from other selected professions have been immunized.”

. . . . .

“Herd immunity” is the accepted scientific consensus

Carlsson and Soderberg-Naucler say that these figures would lead most scientists to conclude that NPIs and voluntary behavioral changes made the second wave bend downwards in early November and that public weariness and/or mutant viral strains caused the third wave. They would also assume that the third wave bent downwards due to renewed public compliance with recommendations in the face of the recent surge, adds the team.

“Indeed, this is the by now accepted scientific consensus among scholars studying the pandemic, which is sometimes called ‘herd-protection,’ and builds on the simple idea that when a major deadly epidemic hits, society reacts in a way that is impossible to predict mathematically,” writes the team.

“The pandemic response in Sweden challenges this interpretation”

Related Stories

However, the pandemic response in Sweden challenges this interpretation with Carlsson and Soderberg-Naucler now presenting an alternative explanation for the pattern of viral spread.

The team says experts have previously proposed that “pre-immunity” or immunological “dark matter” could underlie the unexpected trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic.

However, failure to identify this dark matter together with various erroneous predictions involving pre-immunity led to the hypothesis being discarded.

“We believe that it is too early to discard the hypothesis that some sort of pre-immunity needs to be taken into account, in particular for accurate mathematical modeling,” said the researchers.

The team suggests that what looks like pre-immunity on a population level, could in fact be a consequence of large variability in individual-level susceptibility. Furthermore, this susceptibility may depend on innate immunity and cross-reactive protective immunity initiated by another virus or other factors.

Pre-immunity is a necessity for successful mathematical modeling

Carlsson and Soderberg-Naucler have now shown that mathematical models considering variable susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 are equivalent to simpler models that incorporate pre-immunity.

“Pre-immunity is a necessity for successful mathematical modeling of the pandemic,” they say.

“We argue that this is the key factor that has protected Sweden from a much higher hospitalization rate and death toll, given the Swedish mitigation strategy, and that it helps to keep cases down to a much greater extent than predicted by traditional models for disease spread,” write the researchers.

However, “since cases can still go up if NPI’s are lifted, the term herd-immunity can be misleading… we call it herd-immunity under limited restrictions,” they add.

Vaccination is a must

The team emphasizes that this study is not suggesting that it is safe to lift NPI’s, but rather it implies that around 60% of the community could have some level of protection against SARS-CoV-2 under current NPIs.

Such protection could disappear due to emerging mutations and exposure to higher viral doses following the lifting of restrictions, say the researchers.

Furthermore, it is impossible to know if pre-immunity is present or not, they write.

“Based on this, it is our firm conclusion that the vaccination roll-out must continue with high participation to avoid both personal tragedies and COVID-19 becoming endemic.”

*Important Notice

medRxiv publishes preliminary scientific reports that are not peer-reviewed and, therefore, should not be regarded as conclusive, guide clinical practice/health-related behavior, or treated as established information.Journal reference:

Lake Alexandra Reserve

https://www.tripadvisor.com.au/Attraction_Review-g528995-d8843677-Reviews-Lake_Alexandra_Reserve-Mittagong_Southern_Highlands_

https://www.wsc.nsw.gov.au/Facilities/Parks/Lake-Alexandra-Reserve-Park-Mittagong

Lake Alexandra Reserve Park, Mittagong

Lake Alexandra Reserve Mittagong E

Facilities: 

Children’s play area, Shade Sail, Liberty swing, MLAK Disabled toilet and toilet facilities, picnic areas, water bubbler, duck pond, walking trail, exercise equipment

Daily COVID Deaths in Sweden Hit Zero, as Other Nations Brace for More Lockdowns

This is interesting!

stuartbramhall's avatarThe Most Revolutionary Act

By Jon Miltimore
Foundation for Economic Education

More than 100,000 people flooded streets in France over the weekend and multiple COVID vaccination centers were vandalized as opposition grew to the government’s most recent pandemic strategy. In President Emmanuel Macron’s latest incarnation of lockdowns, government officials have decreed that unvaccinated individuals will no longer be allowed to enter cafes, restaurants, theaters, public transportation and more.

Needless to say, people were not happy.

France’s approach is unique, but it’s just one of many countries around the world imposing new restrictions as fears grow over a new variant of COVID-19. Australia’s recent restrictions have placed half the country under strict lockdown—even though a record 82,000 tests had identified just 111 new coronavirus cases—while restaurants in Portugal are struggling to surviveamid newly imposed restrictions.

One country not making much news is Sweden.

Sweden, of course, was maligned in 2020 for foregoing a strict…

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Shellharbour Mayor furious at NSW Premier for extending Greater Sydney lockdown to region

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-28/lockdown-extended-by-a-month-for-wollongong-shellharbour/100329270

ABC Illawarra / By Ainslie Drewitt-Smith

  • Shellharbour, Wollongong and the Wollondilly Shire are included the state’s extended lockdown 
  • Mayor Marianne Saliba is slamming the decision as “utter stupidity”
  • A local businesswoman says extended financial support does little to soften the blow

Shellharbour Mayor Marianne Saliba has criticised as “rubbish” Premier Gladys Berejiklian’s decision to include the Illawarra community in New South Wales’ extended lockdown.  

Key points:

  • Shellharbour, Wollongong and the Wollondilly Shire are included the state’s extended lockdown 
  • Mayor Marianne Saliba is slamming the decision as “utter stupidity”
  • A local businesswoman says extended financial support does little to soften the blow

Stay-home orders will now be in place across Shellharbour, Wollongong and the Wollondilly Shire until August 28, after the state recorded 177 new locally acquired cases of the Delta variant.

Among the new cases is a person from Wollongong, whose source of infection remains under investigation.

It takes cases numbers in Wollongong to 10, while Shellharbour has been free of the virus since early in June, when a person from Sydney infected with COVID-19 attended a baby store in the city.  

“It’s absolutely rubbish, complete and absolute rubbish [that] we’re being included in this lockdown,” Cr Saliba said.

“We had zero cases 30 days ago, we’ve had zero all the way through [the lockdown] and we still have zero.

“This government has continued to stuff this process up from Day One. It’s utter stupidity,” she said.

Blow for business

Her disappointment has been echoed by local businesswoman, Melissa Gorgievski, who owns hairdressing salons in Shellharbour and Wollongong.

“I was shocked. It’s not great for small businesses to battle through another four weeks,” she said.

“We thought we would be able to open one of our salons and [we] hung on to a bit of hope for that. But that’s gone now.”

On Wednesday, Treasurer Dominic Perrottet announced additional financial support for businesses impacted by the lockdown.

That included an increase of the annual turnover eligibility threshold from $50 million to $250 million.

Maximum weekly payments businesses could receive would also be boosted, from $10,000 to $100,000.

Ms Gorgievski said the changes did little to soften the blow for her business because it faced another month without trading.

“It doesn’t look they’re bringing any more to the table for small businesses. So, that’s disappointing,” she said.

Five women and a man stand in front of a hair salon
Melissa Gorgievski (third from right) says she is disappointed her salons at Wollongong and Shellharbour will have to remain closed for another month.(Supplied: Melissa Gorgievski)

Individuals who lose work would also be eligible for increased assistance from the federal government.  

Those who lose 20 hours or more of work in one week can now receive $750 a week, while employees who lose between 8 to 20 hours will be offered $450.

Construction resumes

A two-week pause on construction will end in the Illawarra from 12:01am on Saturday, with workers allowed to return to unoccupied sites in all but listed Sydney suburbs.

Tradies, including cleaners, can also resume work under the changes, so long as they don’t have contact with residents.

“I jumped for joy,” local cleaner, Terry Darby said.

“I’ve been stressed, worried about how I’m going to pay my rent, how I’m going to pay my bills.”

“It will depend on the clients but, maybe, they can go off for a walk while I clean their house for them,” she said.

an empty housing estate construction site
Construction work will be allowed to resume on Saturday in Wollongong, Shellharbour and Wollondilly, at sites where the are no residents. (ABC News: Brendan Esposito)

Families with children at school will have to continue home-learning for the next four weeks, but students in year 12 will be allowed to return to the classroom on August 16.  

Rapid antigen testing for those students is also being considered by the New South Wales government, to mitigate outbreaks.

Among the changes announced on Wednesday, a ‘singles bubble’ was introduced, with people living on their own now allowed to nominate a sole family member or a friend they can visit for companionship.

Related Stories

Big changes for shopping, schools and singles as NSW records 177 new COVID-19 cases

two women pushing a trolley doing shopping at a fuit shop

Organic cafe owners arrested and charged after $1,000 mask fine

A row of chairs at a counter in a cafe.